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Presidential Election
If the 2000 election were held today and the candidates were the Democrat Al Gore, the Republican George W. Bush, the Freedom Party candidate Pat Buchanan, and the Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, whom would you vote for Al Gore, George Bush, Pat Buchanan, or Ralph Nader?
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Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Bush |
44% |
44% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
50% |
| Gore |
35% |
40% |
38% |
37% |
36% |
35% |
| Nadar |
6% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
| Buchanan |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Other |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Won't vote (vol) |
.4% |
.3% |
1% |
.3% |
.3% |
.3% |
| Don't know/NA |
10% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
8% |
Tracking Survey
- Ciruli Associates provides a daily tracking survey for 9KUSA, Denver Post, and KOA NewsRadio.
The daily poll began publication and broadcast on October 25 and 26, 2000. The survey results from October 28 follow.
Polling Highlights October 28, 2000
9KUSA/KOA NewsRadio/Denver Post poll
- Support collapses for initially highly popular growth control and tax cut initiatives. (Broadcast/published first on October 25 and 26.
- Year long support for background checks on gun show sales continues. Headed for big victory.
- In last 4 days, support for medical marijuana and abortion delay has declined. Abortion delay clearly in trouble.
- After growth control and tax cut initiatives, the Amendment with the most impact on state finances and education policy is the education funding guarantee (Amendment 23). Support has dropped but remains high.
- The poll indicates support for Powerball continues but lacks much enthusiasm.
- Governor George W. Bush has increased his lead to double digits over Vice President Al Gore during the week – now 50% to 35%.
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- Bush wins more of his base partisans than Gore, 89% of Republicans for Bush, 81% of Democrats for Gore and 5% of Democrats for Nader.
- Today there is no gender gap in Colorado. Bush is winning men and women by 16%.
- Gore has a slight advantage with unaffiliated voters, 37% for Gore to 31% for Bush. But Bush is running better with voters with a middle of the road political philosophy, 43% to 38%.
- Bush is carrying 36% of Hispanics and 25% of Blacks, high for recent Republican presidential candidates.
- Bush scores highest with Depression and WWII era voters (55% and 57% respectively). Gore does best with the low turnout youngest voters (47%) and older baby boomers (41%). Nader's main attraction is with voters under 34 years old. (10% among 18-24, and 13% among 25-34 year old voters).
- Bush leads in the metro area 46% to 42%. The metro area has been a good barometer of the national vote margin in the last two presidential elections. Bush wins the non-metro area 56% to 27% over Gore.
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POLICY QUESTIONS
Presidential Election
If the 2000 election were held today and the candidates were the Democrat Al Gore, the Republican George W. Bush, the Freedom Party candidate Pat Buchanan, and the Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, whom would you vote for Al Gore, George Bush, Pat Buchanan, or Ralph Nader?
| . |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Bush |
44% |
44% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
50% |
| Gore |
35% |
40% |
38% |
37% |
36% |
35% |
| Nadar |
6% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
| Buchanan |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Other |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Won't vote (vol) |
.4% |
.3% |
1% |
.3% |
.3% |
.3% |
| Don't know/NA |
10% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
8% |
DON'T KNOW ANSWER IN Q1, ASK: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Al Gore, George Bush, Pat Buchanan or Ralph Nader?
| . |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Bush |
10% |
25% |
25% |
25% |
26% |
23% |
| Gore |
21% |
21% |
23% |
25% |
24% |
21% |
| Nadar |
6% |
5% |
5% |
- |
- |
3% |
| Buchanan |
- |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
- |
| Other (vol) |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
- |
| Don't know/NA |
60% |
44% |
43% |
46% |
45% |
53% |
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Base 48 |
Base 48 |
Base 44 |
Base 44 |
Base 42 |
Base 34 |
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