Presidential Election
If the 2000 election were held today and the candidates were the Democrat Al Gore, the Republican George W. Bush, the Freedom Party candidate Pat Buchanan, and the Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, whom would you vote for Al Gore, George Bush, Pat Buchanan, or Ralph Nader?
| . |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Bush |
44% |
44% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
50% |
| Gore |
35% |
40% |
38% |
37% |
36% |
35% |
| Nadar |
6% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
| Buchanan |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Other |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Won't vote (vol) |
.4% |
.3% |
1% |
.3% |
.3% |
.3% |
| Don't know/NA |
10% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
8% |
Tracking Survey
- Ciruli Associates provides a daily tracking survey for 9KUSA, Denver Post, and KOA NewsRadio.
The daily poll began publication and broadcast on October 25 and 26, 2000. The survey results from October 28 follow.
Polling Highlights October 28, 2000
9KUSA/KOA NewsRadio/Denver Post poll
- Support collapses for initially highly popular growth control and tax cut initiatives. (Broadcast/published first on October 25 and 26.
- Year long support for background checks on gun show sales continues. Headed for big victory.
- In last 4 days, support for medical marijuana and abortion delay has declined. Abortion delay clearly in trouble.
- After growth control and tax cut initiatives, the Amendment with the most impact on state finances and education policy is the education funding guarantee (Amendment 23). Support has dropped but remains high.
- The poll indicates support for Powerball continues but lacks much enthusiasm.
- Governor George W. Bush has increased his lead to double digits over Vice President Al Gore during the week – now 50% to 35%.
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- Bush wins more of his base partisans than Gore, 89% of Republicans for Bush, 81% of Democrats for Gore and 5% of Democrats for Nader.
- Today there is no gender gap in Colorado. Bush is winning men and women by 16%.
- Gore has a slight advantage with unaffiliated voters, 37% for Gore to 31% for Bush. But Bush is running better with voters with a middle of the road political philosophy, 43% to 38%.
- Bush is carrying 36% of Hispanics and 25% of Blacks, high for recent Republican presidential candidates.
- Bush scores highest with Depression and WWII era voters (55% and 57% respectively). Gore does best with the low turnout youngest voters (47%) and older baby boomers (41%). Nader's main attraction is with voters under 34 years old. (10% among 18-24, and 13% among 25-34 year old voters).
- Bush leads in the metro area 46% to 42%. The metro area has been a good barometer of the national vote margin in the last two presidential elections. Bush wins the non-metro area 56% to 27% over Gore.
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POLICY QUESTIONS
Presidential Election
If the 2000 election were held today and the candidates were the Democrat Al Gore, the Republican George W. Bush, the Freedom Party candidate Pat Buchanan, and the Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, whom would you vote for Al Gore, George Bush, Pat Buchanan, or Ralph Nader?
| . |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Bush |
44% |
44% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
50% |
| Gore |
35% |
40% |
38% |
37% |
36% |
35% |
| Nadar |
6% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
4% |
| Buchanan |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Other |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Won't vote (vol) |
.4% |
.3% |
1% |
.3% |
.3% |
.3% |
| Don't know/NA |
10% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
8% |
DON'T KNOW ANSWER IN Q1, ASK: Well as of today, do you lean more toward Al Gore, George Bush, Pat Buchanan or Ralph Nader?
| . |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Bush |
10% |
25% |
25% |
25% |
26% |
23% |
| Gore |
21% |
21% |
23% |
25% |
24% |
21% |
| Nadar |
6% |
5% |
5% |
- |
- |
3% |
| Buchanan |
- |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
- |
| Other (vol) |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
- |
| Don't know/NA |
60% |
44% |
43% |
46% |
45% |
53% |
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Base 48 |
Base 48 |
Base 44 |
Base 44 |
Base 42 |
Base 34 |
Ballot Issues
The following are issues that will be on the Colorado election ballot in November 2000. I will read a short description of each proposal in the order they will appear on the ballot. Each of the issues has supporters and opponents conducting campaigns and arguing the good and bad points. After I read each proposal please tell me, as of today, do you definitely support the issue, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or definitely oppose the issue.
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Amendment 20 allows seriously ill patients to use marijuana for medical purposes with a doctor's approval |
| Sept 29 |
47% |
20% |
7% |
21% |
5% |
| Oct 24 |
43% |
18% |
9% |
26% |
4% |
| Oct 25 |
39% |
17% |
10% |
29% |
5% |
| Oct 26 |
38% |
16% |
10% |
31% |
5% |
| Oct 27 |
41% |
15% |
9% |
31% |
4% |
| Oct 28 |
41% |
15% |
7% |
33% |
4% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Amendment 21 cuts taxes by $25 a year ($50 the second year, $75 the third year etc.) on each utility, motor vehicle, income and property tax collected by Colorado state or local governments, or taxing districts |
| Sept 29 |
33% |
20% |
10% |
20% |
17% |
| Oct 24 |
16% |
12% |
12% |
42% |
18% |
| Oct 25 |
17% |
12% |
10% |
44% |
17% |
| Oct 26 |
19% |
11% |
8% |
47% |
15% |
| Oct 27 |
17% |
11% |
7% |
53% |
12% |
| Oct 28 |
18% |
10% |
6% |
54% |
12% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Amendment 22 requires a criminal background check on everyone buying a gun at gun shows |
| Sept 29 |
69% |
8% |
6% |
13% |
4% |
| Oct 24 |
70% |
11% |
3% |
14% |
2% |
| Oct 25 |
66% |
11% |
4% |
17% |
2% |
| Oct 26 |
67% |
10% |
4% |
17% |
3% |
| Oct 27 |
70% |
7% |
3% |
17% |
3% |
| Oct 28 |
68% |
7% |
3% |
18% |
4% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Amendment 23 takes money from surplus state tax revenue to increase state funding for kindergarten through 12th grade public schools by 1 percent plus the rate of inflation each year for the next 10 years |
| Sept 29 |
52% |
18% |
7% |
13% |
10% |
| Oct 24 |
45% |
18% |
7% |
16% |
14% |
| Oct 25 |
45% |
18% |
8% |
16% |
13% |
| Oct 26 |
45% |
18% |
7% |
18% |
12% |
| Oct 27 |
46% |
19% |
6% |
20% |
9% |
| Oct 28 |
44% |
18% |
6% |
21% |
11% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Amendment 24 requires cities and counties of more than 10,000 people to develop growth plans and boundaries that would have to be approved by local voters. Growth outside the boundaries would require voter approval |
| Sept 29 |
45% |
17% |
6% |
19% |
13% |
| Oct 24 |
22% |
12% |
9% |
44% |
13% |
| Oct 25 |
21% |
12% |
10% |
47% |
10% |
| Oct 26 |
22% |
11% |
9% |
50% |
8% |
| Oct 27 |
22% |
9% |
9% |
52% |
8% |
| Oct 28 |
20% |
11% |
9% |
53% |
7% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Amendment 25 requires a 24-hour waiting period for an abortion, and that women be given information about alternatives to abortion and risks of the procedure |
| Sept 29 |
42% |
14% |
9% |
26% |
9% |
| Oct 24 |
43% |
14% |
4% |
30% |
9% |
| Oct 25 |
43% |
13% |
5% |
31% |
8% |
| Oct 26 |
44% |
12% |
5% |
33% |
6% |
| Oct 27 |
39% |
11% |
6% |
38% |
6% |
| Oct 28 |
37% |
12% |
6% |
40% |
5% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Referendum E allows Colorado to join other states in multi-state lotteries such as Powerball. Excess money would go to school construction |
| Sept 29 |
38% |
20% |
7% |
24% |
11% |
| Oct 24 |
36% |
23% |
7% |
22% |
12% |
| Oct 25 |
40% |
21% |
4% |
23% |
12% |
| Oct 26 |
43% |
18% |
4% |
25% |
10% |
| Oct 27 |
44% |
16% |
4% |
27% |
9% |
| Oct 28 |
43% |
16% |
4% |
29% |
8% |
| . |
Definitely
Support
|
Somewhat
Support
|
Somewhat
Oppose |
Definitely
Oppose |
Don't
Know |
| Referendum F takes $250 million of surplus state tax revenue over the next five years for grants to public schools for math and science programs |
| Sept 29 |
48% |
20% |
8% |
12% |
12% |
| Oct 24 |
41% |
27% |
7% |
11% |
14% |
| Oct 25 |
41% |
24% |
7% |
13% |
15% |
| Oct 26 |
44% |
19% |
8% |
15% |
14% |
| Oct 27 |
44% |
18% |
7% |
17% |
14% |
| Oct 28 |
43% |
18% |
7% |
18% |
14% |
Ballot Issue Summary
|
Support |
| Ballot Issue |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Gun checks (A22) |
77% |
81% |
77% |
77% |
77% |
75% |
| School funds (A23) |
70% |
63% |
63% |
63% |
65% |
63% |
| Math and science grants (RE) |
68% |
68% |
65% |
63% |
62% |
61% |
| Medical marijuana (A20) |
67% |
61% |
56% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
| Anti-growth (A24) |
62% |
34% |
33% |
33% |
31% |
31% |
| Powerball (RF) |
58% |
59% |
61% |
61% |
60% |
59% |
| Abortion inform (A25) |
56% |
57% |
56% |
56% |
50% |
49% |
| Tax cuts (A21) |
53% |
28% |
29% |
30% |
28% |
28% |
|
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Oppose |
| Ballot Issue |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Gun checks (A22) |
19% |
17% |
21% |
21% |
20% |
21% |
| School funds (A23) |
20% |
23% |
24% |
25% |
26% |
27% |
| Math and science grants (RE) |
20% |
18% |
20% |
23% |
24% |
25% |
| Medical marijuana (A20) |
28% |
35% |
39% |
41% |
40% |
40% |
| Anti-growth (A24) |
25% |
53% |
57% |
59% |
61% |
62% |
| Powerball (RF) |
31% |
29% |
27% |
29% |
31% |
33% |
| Abortion inform (A25) |
35% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
44% |
46% |
| Tax cuts (A21) |
30% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
60% |
60% |
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Don't Know |
| Ballot Issue |
Sept 29 |
Oct 24 |
Oct 25 |
Oct 26 |
Oct 27 |
Oct 28 |
| Gun checks (A22) |
4% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
4% |
| School funds (A23) |
10% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
9% |
11% |
| Math and science grants (RE) |
12% |
14% |
15% |
14% |
14% |
14% |
| Medical marijuana (A20) |
5% |
4% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
4% |
| Anti-growth (A24) |
13% |
13% |
10% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
| Powerball (RF) |
11% |
12% |
12% |
10% |
9% |
8% |
| Abortion inform (A25) |
9% |
9% |
8% |
6% |
6% |
5% |
| Tax cuts (A21) |
17% |
18% |
17% |
15% |
12% |
12% |
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* List in order of original popularity.
DEMOGRAPHIC QUESTIONS
The final questions are for background information only. The answers to these questions help us to understand the results.
Your answers to these questions, like all the survey questions, are confidential and used only when combined with all other persons who are interviewed.
How old are you?
|
| . |
Oct 28 |
| 18 - 24 |
8% |
| 25 -34 |
15% |
| 35 - 44 |
20% |
| 45 - 54 |
20% |
| 55 - 64 |
16% |
| 65 and over |
2% |
| Refused |
1% |
Considering political parties, would you say you usually identify yourself as a:
|
| . |
Oct 28 |
. |
Oct 28 |
| Strong Democrat |
10% |
|
|
Moderate Democrat
|
21% |
Democrat
|
31% |
An unaffiliated voter
|
21% |
Unaffiliated
|
21% |
Moderate Republican
|
23% |
Republican
|
45% |
Strong Republican
|
22% |
|
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Other (vol)
|
2% |
|
|
| Don’t know/refused |
1% |
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